And The Winner Of The First Presidential Debate Is...

Barack Obama.

But not by a whole lot, it seems. As you can see by the polls from one week ago, Barack Obama has gone up by a single point in CNN's Poll of Polls. He's gained a point in the RCP average as well, and McCain has lost almost a point. So Sen. Obama has a semi-comfortable six-point lead now.
What is more significant is where he seems to be making those leads. It appears that his biggest gains have been in the states where he's needed them: Ohio, Florida, Virginia, and even North Carolina. North Carolina was not even thought of as a possibility to turn blue, but the race is tied at the moment.

Still, there's a month left before the election. Let's see what happens.



See my other site: http://www.popspoof.com

House Passes Bailout Bill, Markets Don't Care

Well, the House just passed a bailout bill. I noticed that the Dow was up about 300 points before the vote, but is up only 100 points right now.

Go figure. It's not that this bailout bill is going to be a fix-it-all, anyway.




See my other site: http://www.popspoof.com

Bailout Fails, Dow Is Down 777 Points. Calm Down!

It's time for a reality check, folks.

OK. So the Wall Street bailout plan failed in the House, causing the Dow to tip 777 points, the largest one-day point drop in history. If you're watching CNN right now, you would think that the end of the world is nigh.

We're definitely in for some tougher-than-usual times, of course. We all know that already. Try to keep the following in mind, though.

1. This is a 7-percent drop, which is bad, but it's been far worse. When the Dow lost over 500 points in 1987, that was close to a 30-percent drop.
2. There is an election coming up. The media is blowing everything up right now to make the campaigns more interesting.
3. We don't even know if this bailout plan is going to help. There's a chance it could make a bad situation worse. Don't freak out if it doesn't pass the first time.

Ah, that's it. Now turn the news off and enjoy your day. The VP debate is Thursday, and should be highly entertaining.



See my other site: http://www.popspoof.com
Feel free to leave a comment!

Election 2008 Polls: September 26

Since the first Presidential debate is definitely going on tonight, I just wanted to save today's poll results here. The post-debate poll results will be known mid-to-late next week, and I'll post updates as they occur.

From RCP:

Obama 48.2%, McCain 44.2%
(click to enlarge)

From CNN:

Obama 48%, McCain 43%
(click to enlarge)

I think that anything can happen in the next week during to the uncertainty of future events, especially now...but expect Sen. Obama to get a slight push in the next week. But...anything can happen.

Leave a comment and tell me how you feel.

McCain's Post-Convention Bounce Is Officially Over

Senator John McCain's lead in the polls has evaporated and negated to near pre-GOP convention levels.

Today, the RCP National Average shows Senator Barack Obama with 47.1% of the vote, a 1.9% lead over Senator John McCain's 45.2%. Meanwhile, CNN's Poll of Polls has had Sen. Barack Obama with a slight lead for several days. Now, that lead has been extended to 3 points (47-44 is the current spread).




As usual, the state/electorate polls do not give us a clear winner.

It does appear that McCain's brief lead in the polls was indeed just the usual post-convention bounce. As Wall Street tailspins into a very uncertain future, as war looms all over the world, and as the Troopergate investigation gets ugly, neither Presidential campaign is going to have an easy time winning (although it should give Sen. Obama the very slight edge that he already has).

The upcoming debates should be very, very interesting.

John McCain Gets His Post-Convention Boost

After trailing far behind opponent Barack Obama for a week or so, John McCain has officially gotten his post-GOP convention bounce. Senator McCain is showing a 3-point lead, which is close to a statistical tie, but still a lead. As you can see below (click to enlarge), the results vary wildly from poll to poll:

National poll results for Sept. 8, 2008

As you can see, Senator McCain has taken the lead from Senator Obama in all major polls. What could be causing such a jump? Well, there's always the post-convention bounce. Barack Obama got his after the Democratic convention, and now it's McCain's turn.

It does seem that the country is somewhat more enthused with McCain, but is it McCain at all? Let's face it: this whole past week, ten days even, has been about Sarah Palin, Sarah Palin, Bristol Palin, Sarah Palin, and some more Sarah Palin. Could Americans be intrigued with this unlikely choice of a Vice-Presidential candidate?

No matter which candidate you're supporting (and it looks like we've got mostly Obama/Biden supporters here so far :) ), it's too early to predict any kind of an outcome. It won't be until Sept. 26, after the first Presidential debate, when we'll even have the faintest idea. Stay tuned!

What This Blog Is About

Hey everyone! This is insaneinthesfv, and I have a new blog. Unlike my other site, Popspoof, I'm going to write about whatever I want to write about. Politics, humor, entertainment, news, you name it. Let's see how well I keep it up!