Thursday, September 18, 2008

McCain's Post-Convention Bounce Is Officially Over

Senator John McCain's lead in the polls has evaporated and negated to near pre-GOP convention levels.

Today, the RCP National Average shows Senator Barack Obama with 47.1% of the vote, a 1.9% lead over Senator John McCain's 45.2%. Meanwhile, CNN's Poll of Polls has had Sen. Barack Obama with a slight lead for several days. Now, that lead has been extended to 3 points (47-44 is the current spread).




As usual, the state/electorate polls do not give us a clear winner.

It does appear that McCain's brief lead in the polls was indeed just the usual post-convention bounce. As Wall Street tailspins into a very uncertain future, as war looms all over the world, and as the Troopergate investigation gets ugly, neither Presidential campaign is going to have an easy time winning (although it should give Sen. Obama the very slight edge that he already has).

The upcoming debates should be very, very interesting.

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